Diagnostic Note

2026

How Energy Transition Programmes Evolve Under Constraint

A constraint-based view of how technical assistance adapts in practice.

Programmes don’t lose momentum because they are wrong. They lose momentum because the constraint moved.

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Framework

2026

A practical model for understanding donor-funded programs

How political incentives, narrative requirements, and institutional dynamics shape what donor-funded programs can deliver. Adapted from selectorate theory and experience inside donor-funded energy and climate programs.

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Systems Diagnosis

2025

A Decision Simulation of Energy Transition Failure

What happens when professionals make trade-offs under constraint. Built around four interdependent indicators under repeated shocks and resource scarcity, the simulation compresses the dynamics of a multi-year transition programme into a 45–60 minute session.

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